Congratulations, Moviefone — you popped up first on my “Oscar list” google search.
Will win: Avatar, because it’s the biggest-grossing film of all time — did you suckers realize that receipts were up 10% last year? During a motherfucking recession? #teaparty
Should win: The Hurt Locker, although I would fully support a win for A Serious Man
Will win: Kathryn Bigelow. I just have a theory, which will be shredded or validated in due course, that the judges will split the baby here. Maybe it’ll go in the other direction — surely, Cameron’s achievement is more impressive than Bigelow’s, even if his movie is worse.
Should win: James Cameron. You see? You see?
BEST ANIMATED PICTURE
Will win: Up.
Should win: Coraline. Yeah, I fucking said it.
Will win: Jeff Bridges.
Should win: Jeremy Renner.
Will win: Sandra Bullock.
Should win: God, I don’t even care. The girl from Precious?
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Christophe Walz.
Should win: Walz, even though he’ll give the most boring speech of the night.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Mo’nique
Should win: Mo’nique
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Should win: Joel and Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
Should win: Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche, In the Loop
BEST FOREIGN FILM
Will win: The White Ribbon
Should win: Uh, sure! The White Ribbon!
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will win: James Horner, Avatar
Should win: Alexandre Desplat, The Fantastic Mr. Fox
BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
Will win: “The Weary Kind” by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett. The songs from The Princess and the Frog cancel each other out; the song from Nine, being a song from Nine, totally sucks.
Should win: “The Weary Kind” by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett
That would be a few more words than have appeared on this blog lately, right? So, what happened was this: Like many twentysomething white male Americans who live in the 202 area code, I became a devotee of Twitter sometime in early 2009. I’d joined in 2008, mostly to suggest things to do to friends, and to be on the early alert for the things they were suggesting. But @daveweigel turned into its own beast, and right now I have 6000-odd people reading my scattered and random and brief thoughts on, like, whatever.
I saw this coming. I intended this blog to become a clearinghouse for lists and short, stream-of-consciousness reviews of books and movies. For a little while last year, it was! And while it’s too late into 2010 to make a “resolution” out of this, that’s my plan, to turn this into a clearinghouse for the pop culture side of my life. That’s still the plan! I’ve just moved to a new place in DC, just put together a new TV-and-directTV-and-DVD setup, and almost finished putting together bookshelves. So expect some related content.