Merry Christmas, Powerline

On 12/23, Powerline’s John Hinderaker reports on the “duplicate ballot issue” in Minnesota’s Senate race.

The recount in the Coleman-Franken Senate race is drawing to a close, and the result depends on the outcome of the motion that the Coleman team argued before the Minnesota Supreme Court (minus two of its members who are serving on the Canvassing Board) this afternoon. The motion relates to duplicate ballots that have been counted, giving Franken an extra 130 or so votes. If Coleman prevails on the duplicate ballot issue, he wins the recount; if not, Franken will win by somewhere between 25 and 50 votes.

On 12/24, Coleman loses in an unanimous decision by the Minnesota Supreme Court. Powerline’s Scott Johnson comments:

As a result of the Supreme Court ruling on the issue of double counted ballots, the ballots in issue will be included in the totals rendered by the Board of Canvassers in early January. If the margin between the candidates is fewer than 130 votes, or if other substantial issues remain as a result of the treatment of the 1,600 absentee ballots, a contest is guaranteed. I take the Coleman campaign statement’s slight hesitation on this point only to mean that so long as the margin is not prohibitive, a judicial contest of the recount is now inevitable.

Old and busted: if Coleman loses at the MSC, Franken wins! New hotness: if Coleman loses at the MSC, Coleman still wins! Maybe! Meanwhile, InTrade drops the chance of a Coleman win from 14% to 6%.

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