Because there just aren’t enough blogs about politics …
Larry Sabato, the status quo in human form, offers a fun feature on his political website, the Crystal Ball. Sabato runs fancy electoral college predictions for five of the Democratic candidates (he writes off Dean, Kucinich, Moseley-Braun, and that black guy who lies about stuff)
I share Sabato’s opinion that Howard Dean would stand to win about 5 or 6 states … I’m more skeptical about his other picks. Basically, Sabato assumes that, excepting John Kerry, every Democratic frontrunner could win a competetive race by winning all of Gore’s states and one or two others. I don’t think the Dems can count on Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa like they used to; the former states are trending right, and all three are lacking the non-white voters who saved Gore’s bacon in 2000. But it’s a fun way to kill a few minutes.
(courtesy John Tabin)